EXHIBIT
99.2
For
Information
Brent A. Collins
303-861-8140
FOR
IMMEDIATE RELEASE
ST.
MARY PROVIDES GUIDANCE AND OPERATIONS UPDATE
·
|
Potential
for over 210,000 and 160,000 net acres in the Eagleford and Pearsall
shales, respectively
|
·
|
Results
in the Woodford shale and Wolfberry tight oil programs continue to
improve
|
·
|
Revised
full year production guidance range of 112.5 to 113.5 BCFE as a result of
hurricane impacts
|
·
|
Exploration
and development budget for 2008 of $758 million anticipated to be near
expected cash flow; provides 10% year over year production growth on
retained properties
|
DENVER, November 3, 2008 – St.
Mary Land & Exploration Company (NYSE: SM) today provides an update of the
Company’s significant operational activities and financial guidance for the
remainder of 2008.
MANAGEMENT
COMMENTS
Tony
Best, President and CEO, commented, “St. Mary will grow production 10% on
retained properties in 2008 with a program that is near expected cash
flow. We have continued to broaden and strengthen our inventory of
drilling opportunities as we execute our strategic shift to focus on resource
plays. You can expect to see us entering emerging resource plays much
earlier and in a more compelling way that will result in improved economics and
multi-year drilling programs with the scope and scale to provide significant
future growth. Our entry into the Maverick Basin during the past year
is a perfect example, which now provides us with tremendous exposure to the
emerging Eagleford and Pearsall shale plays. I am very pleased with
the expansion and improvement of our portfolio and see new opportunities for
growth in front of us.”
OPERATIONAL
UPDATE
The
Company is encouraged by recent positive developments in the greater Maverick
Basin. St. Mary entered the basin in the second half of 2007 with two
acquisitions that primarily focused on the Olmos shallow gas play. At
that time, the Company was aware of several other horizons of interest in the
basin, including the Eagleford and Pearsall shales. Since that time,
the Company has increased its acreage position through leasing efforts and a
joint venture with TXCO Resources and Anadarko Petroleum. The joint
venture allows St. Mary to earn up to approximately 75,000 net acres in
Webb and Dimmit Counties as certain conditions are met. In the joint
venture acreage, four horizontal wells have been drilled and are at various
stages of testing. Two of these wells were horizontal re-entry wells
targeting the Eagleford shale, while the Pearsall interval was tested with one
horizontal re-entry well and one horizontal grass roots well. A
recent announcement of a successful horizontal well by a competitor has drawn
increased attention to the Eagleford shale. The competitor well is
located in La Salle County, just east of Webb and Dimmit Counties where the
Company’s joint venture acreage is located. Additionally, a
successful well in northern Dimmit County targeting the Pearsall shale has been
reported by TXCO Resources on acreage that is not part of the joint
venture. Assuming the Company earns all of the acreage associated
with the aforementioned joint venture, St. Mary will have captured over 210,000
net acres and 160,000 net acres in the Eagleford and Pearsall shales,
respectively. The company will begin testing on its acreage outside
the joint venture in the next few quarters.
St. Mary
is currently drilling its first horizontal Haynesville shale well, which is
located in De Soto Parish, Louisiana at the Spider Field. The rig is
currently taking core samples in the Bossier and Haynesville sections and is
expected to kick off the horizontal lateral within the next two
weeks. The well design calls for an approximately 4,500 foot
horizontal lateral. The well is expected to be completed in early
January 2009.
Results
from the operated horizontal Woodford shale program continue to
improve. To date, the Company has drilled and completed 24 wells that
have meaningful production histories. The average estimated ultimate
recovery (EUR) for the last 14 wells is 3.4 BCFE. The four most
recent wells have preliminary EURs which are at or above that per well
average. The Company has previously guided to a range of 2.7 to 3.0
BCFE for a typical horizontal Woodford well. Completed well costs on
the past 14 wells have come down over time and the estimated completed well cost
for a typical well is now expected to be in the range of $4.0 to $5.5 million
per well, depending on depth and the number of completion stages. As
development moves east in the play, the formation is deeper and costs for those
wells will be on the high end of the cost guidance. Currently,
St. Mary is operating three rigs in the play.
In the
Williston Basin, St. Mary recently drilled and completed its initial three
horizontal Bakken test wells in the Company’s Powers Lake and Stillwater
prospects on the Mountrail and Burke county line. While the wells
have shown modest production rates, the Company does not believe that the area
will be commercial for the Bakken in the
current
commodity price and cost environment. Log data from the first of
these wells confirmed the presence of the Three Forks formation under the
Bakken, and information from offset operators suggests that this interval could
be prospective on our acreage. In eastern McKenzie County,
St. Mary has a rig scheduled to arrive in November in our Bear Den prospect
to drill several horizontal Bakken and Three Forks wells. A recent
St. Mary operated re-entry well targeting the Bakken was successful in this
prospect, and the Company is encouraged by offset operator
activity. The Bakken formation in the Bear Den acreage appears to
have higher pressure compared to the Company’s acreage at Powers Lake and
Stillwater. As previously announced, St. Mary recently acquired 6,200
net acres in the Bear Den area which brings the Company’s total acreage in the
area to roughly 10,000 net acres. The Company has approximately
74,000 net acres in non-legacy areas in North Dakota. Declining oil
prices combined with widening differentials and restricted pipeline takeaway
capacity are potential limiting factors for future development in the Williston
Basin.
During
the year, the Company began testing the viability of 40-acre increased density
Wolfberry oil wells at Sweetie Peck in the Permian Basin. The program
included 15 wells in three pilot areas. Early results from testing
have been positive. Performance of these infill wells has been
similar to the wells drilled on 80-acre spacing. At the time of the
acquisition of the Sweetie Peck assets in late 2006, the EURs and estimated
initial production rates for the 40-acre locations were significantly discounted
to reflect the unknown potential of 40-acre development. Further
drilling on 40-acre spacing is expected at Sweetie Peck.
CAPITAL
INVESTMENT BUDGET
The
Company’s 2008 estimated capital investment remains unchanged at $758
million. A regional breakdown of the budget is detailed
below.
|
2008
Exploration & Development Capital
|
|
($
in millions)
|
|
|
ArkLaTex
|
$ |
190 |
Mid-Continent
|
|
167 |
Permian
|
|
150 |
Rocky
Mountain
|
|
165 |
Gulf
Coast
|
|
86 |
TOTAL
|
$ |
758 |
St.
Mary’s intention is for the 2008 exploration and development budget to be near
cash flow for the year.
PERFORMANCE
GUIDANCE UPDATE
The
Company’s guidance for the fourth quarter and the full year of 2008 is as
follows:
4th
Quarter Full
Year
Oil and
gas
production
28.0 – 29.0
Bcfe
112.5 – 113.5 Bcfe
Lease
operating
expense
$1.60 -
$1.65/Mcfe
$1.46 - $1.48/Mcfe
Transportation
expense
$0.21 -
$0.26/Mcfe
$0.20 - $0.21/Mcfe
Production
taxes $0.46
- -
$0.51/Mcfe
$0.73 - $0.75/Mcfe
General
and administrative
expense $0.78
- -
$0.83/Mcfe
$0.79 - $0.81/Mcfe
Depreciation,
depletion &
amort. $2.75
- -
$2.95/Mcfe
$2.62 - $2.70/Mcfe
Production
– The decrease in the Company’s oil and gas production guidance for the full
year is due to disruptions to production caused primarily by the hurricanes in
the Gulf of Mexico during September 2008. The Company estimates that
approximately 2.0 BCFE of production was lost for the year as a result of
Hurricanes Gustav and Ike. At the mid-point of the full year
production guidance, St. Mary will grow production on retained properties 10%
from 2007 divestiture-adjusted production of 102.5 BCFE. This
production growth is expected to be generated by an exploration and development
budget that is near cash flow for the year.
There are
no presumed production volumes from future acquisitions included in the guidance
above.
Lease operating
expense – Lease operating expense for the fourth quarter is anticipated
to be up slightly on a sequential basis from the third quarter of
2008. Anticipated costs related to non-recurring workovers of
properties in the Rockies region are included in this guidance. St.
Mary anticipates there could be some softening in pricing in future quarters in
the oilfield services industry as a result of the expected pull back in activity
levels across the exploration and production sector, however the Company has yet
to see these cost reductions materialize.
Production taxes
– On a sequential basis, production taxes are anticipated to be down
meaningfully from the third quarter of 2008 due to the significant decrease in
forecasted commodity prices for the fourth quarter.
General and
administrative expense – G&A is expected to decline sequentially in
the fourth quarter. As a result of the decline in forecasted
commodity prices, G&A items tied to profitability and cash flow are
anticipated to be lower than previously projected.
Depreciation,
depletion, and amortization expense – With forecasted
commodity prices being significantly lower than earlier in the year, there could
be some downward pricing revisions to proved reserve estimates throughout the
exploration and production industry. Downward pricing revisions have
a corresponding upward impact on DD&A rates, and accordingly the Company is
guiding to higher DD&A rates in anticipation of
some
level of negative pricing revisions based on current forecasts of commodity
prices. Should the outlook for future commodity prices increase, this
upward pressure on DD&A would be lessened.
Income
taxes – The Company
estimates that its effective tax rate will be approximately 37% in the fourth
quarter. St. Mary expects cash taxes will comprise between 0% and 10%
of income tax expense for the quarter.
Hedging
update – Below
is an updated summary hedging schedule for the Company. All the
prices in the table below have been converted to an average NYMEX equivalent for
ease of comparison using quality and transportation differentials as of
September 30, 2008. No hedges have been added between the end of
the third quarter of 2008 and the date of this release. The majority
of the oil trades are settled against NYMEX. The gas contracts have
been executed to settle against regional delivery points that correspond with
the Company’s production areas, thereby reducing basis
risk. Approximately 60% and 55% of the Company’s oil and natural gas
production, respectively, have been hedged for the remainder of
2008. For detailed schedules on the Company’s hedging program, please
refer to the Company’s Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2008, which
is expected to be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on November
4, 2008.
Oil Swaps - NYMEX
Equivalent
|
|
Oil Collars - NYMEX
Equivalent
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Floor
|
|
Ceiling
|
|
|
Bbls
|
|
$/Bbl
|
|
|
|
Bbls
|
|
$/Bbl
|
|
$/Bbl
|
2008
|
|
|
|
|
|
2008
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Q4
|
|
466,000 |
|
$ |
71.74 |
|
Q4 |
|
519,000 |
|
$ |
58.19 |
|
$ |
78.43 |
2009
|
|
1,570,000 |
|
$ |
71.64 |
|
2009
|
|
1,526,000 |
|
$ |
50.00 |
|
$ |
67.31 |
2010
|
|
1,239,000 |
|
$ |
66.47 |
|
2010
|
|
1,367,500 |
|
$ |
50.00 |
|
$ |
64.91 |
2011
|
|
1,032,000 |
|
$ |
65.36 |
|
2011
|
|
1,236,000 |
|
$ |
50.00 |
|
$ |
63.70 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Natural Gas Swaps - NYMEX
Equivalent
|
Natural Gas Collars - NYMEX
Equivalent
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
Floor
|
|
Ceiling
|
|
|
MMBTU
|
|
$/MMBTU
|
|
|
|
MMBTU
|
|
$/MMBTU
|
|
$/MMBTU
|
2008
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2008
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Q4
|
|
5,860,000 |
|
$ |
10.13 |
|
Q4 |
|
3,957,500 |
|
$ |
9.58 |
|
$ |
12.21 |
2009
|
|
20,420,000 |
|
$ |
9.06 |
|
2009
|
|
9,110,000 |
|
$ |
6.59 |
|
$ |
10.58 |
2010
|
|
8,730,000 |
|
$ |
8.60 |
|
2010
|
|
7,825,000 |
|
$ |
6.54 |
|
$ |
8.83 |
2011
|
|
1,240,000 |
|
$ |
7.77 |
|
2011
|
|
6,625,000 |
|
$ |
6.41 |
|
$ |
7.65 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Natural Gas Liquid
Swaps - Mont.
Belvieu
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Bbls
|
|
$/Bbl
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2008
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Q4
|
|
245,992 |
|
$ |
40.79 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2009
|
|
813,732 |
|
$ |
41.87 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2010
|
|
139,724 |
|
$ |
49.59 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2011
|
|
19,643 |
|
$ |
49.01 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
INFORMATION
ABOUT FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
This
release contains forward looking statements within the meaning of securities
laws, including forecasts and projections. The words “will,”
“believe,” “budget,” “anticipate,” “plan,” “intend,” “estimate,” “forecast,” and
“expect” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward looking
statements. These statements involve known and unknown risks, which
may cause St. Mary’s actual results to differ materially from results expressed
or implied by the forward looking statements. These risks include
such factors as the volatility and level of oil and natural gas prices, the
uncertain nature of the expected benefits from the acquisition and divestiture
of oil and gas properties, uncertainties inherent in projecting future rates of
production from drilling activities and acquisitions, the ability of purchasers
of production to pay for those sales, the availability of debt and equity
financing, the ability of the banks in the Company’s credit facility to fund
requested borrowings, the ability of hedge counterparties to settle hedges in
favor of the Company, the imprecise nature of estimating oil and gas reserves,
the availability of additional economically attractive exploration, development,
and property acquisition opportunities for future growth and any necessary
financings, unexpected
drilling
conditions and results, unsuccessful exploration and development drilling,
drilling and operating service availability, the risks associated with our
hedging strategy, and other such matters discussed in the “Risk Factors” section
of St. Mary’s 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K/A and subsequent quarterly reports
on Form 10-Q filed with the SEC. Although St. Mary may from time to
time voluntarily update its prior forward looking statements, it disclaims any
commitment to do so except as required by securities laws.
INFORMATION
ABOUT RESERVES AND RESOURCES
The SEC
permits oil and gas companies to disclose in their filings with the SEC only
proved reserves, which are reserve estimates that geological and engineering
data demonstrate with reasonable certainty to be recoverable in future years
from known reservoirs under existing economic and operating
conditions. St. Mary uses in this press release the term “EUR”
(estimated ultimate recovery), which SEC guidelines prohibit from being included
in filings with the SEC. EUR means those quantities of petroleum
which are estimated to be potentially recoverable from an accumulation, plus
those quantities already produced therefrom. Estimates of unproved
reserves which may potentially be recoverable through additional drilling or
recovery techniques are by their nature more uncertain than estimates of proved
reserves and accordingly are subject to substantially greater risk of not
actually being realized by the Company. In addition, our production
forecasts and expectations for future periods are dependent upon many
assumptions, including estimates of production decline rates from existing wells
and the undertaking and outcome of future drilling activity, which may be
affected by significant commodity price declines or drilling cost
increases.